Monday, May 25, 2009

LOL Donkament

Played round one of my match in the 2p2 SSFR HU tournament the other day; it was interesting to play HU for a $100 buyin shootout, a format I don't get a lot of. Very much a bragging rights type thing, but the money would be cool, too.

My first opponent was Robert Fripp, a very aggressive player from South America who threatened to run me over from the get go. The first meaningful hand, he'd been 3betting up a storm, I raised to 30, he 3bet to 100, I called with Ah3h, which was a monster against his range. Flop came Q24dd, I check-called 150, turn 7s, I check-called 360, river Tc I check-folded 1190 all-in into 1220. In retrospect it was a clear call as he was bluffing without a doubt, but my balls weren't quite in place yet. This dropped me down to an early large chip deficit.

I made some of it back when I raised KK OTB, he called, flop came 59Jr. He check-called 40 on the flop, turn was an ace, he checks I bet 110, he raises to 300. I tanked a bit to make it look like I was contemplating a fold, when in reality I'm never folding here (as he'd made it clear he was 3betting any ace pre). My only real option was between calling and 3betting and I chose to call. He gave up on a river 9 and I checked behind against his polarized range. He had 7h 5h and I dragged a nice-sized pot.

The very next hand I defended w/QhTh and took a pot down with a CR on a 26Khh flop.

I took another 100 when I 4bet TT pre with the intent of getting it in, then another 190 when I defended w/A7o and check-called 2 streets on an AQQ2 board before he finally gave up on a river T, showing 9Ts.

Later, with my stack at 1335 (starting stack: 2000) I defended w/QTo and the flop came 89J rainbow, lol. I check-called the flop, turn was an ugly 7, check-check, river king, I bet 120, he raised to 300, I shoved and he tanked and folded, saying he folded K8. This took us back to almost even.

Another interesting hand, I defended 5h7h, flop came 2h5s8c, I check-called the now-standard cbet of 40. Turn Jh, I c/r'd a bet of 100 up to 310 and he folded.

Then came the hand where the match really changed. I defended w/TcJc, flop came Jh7h7c. I check-called 40, turn 9c. I check-called 100, river 8d giving me the straight. I led out 310 into 340 and my opponent raised to 980. WTF!! I tanked for a bit and asked him if he'd boated up, which was obv what he was repping, and against a straightforward player this is such an obvious fold, but this guy had been such a monkey that folding wasn't really an option. I called and he showed Qd 4d for the stone river bluff, LOL. This gave me an almost 2:1 chip lead.

That turned the first match in my favor and I never ceded the lead. Later I defended w/A8o and check-called 40 on a 339r flop. Turn 8, I c/c'd 110, river 7, I c/c'd 240, he showed Qd 5d.

Thr first match ended w/me raising AQo, he defended. Flop 3d5dQc, I bet 40, he cr'd to 120, I called. Turn 4h, he checks, I bet 200, he CRAI's to 680, I instacall, he shows 2h 3h for bottom pair+OESD, river bricks.

His stats for the match were something like 61/54/15.8 - yes, an AF of 15.8 - and didn't appreciably change. My defense was easy - play about 55/45/0.9! I just slow-played everything and he only really started to adjust after it was already too late.

The second match was over very quickly, something like 32 hands. We donked back and forth a small bit. Finally a huge hand hit when I had JhKh, opened to 30, he defended. Flop came 2h4h8c for overs+2nfd. He checks, I bet 40, he cr'd to 120 as he always did (his c/r percentage was over 70% for the match). I 3bet to 420, he 4bet to 1040, I shoved for 920 more, he folds!!!!! Yes ladies and gentlemen that is a postflop 4bet-fold.

The sick thing about that hand is that I knew I had FE. He had been 3betting me so much that I figured he was going to try to stay a level ahead and on a board like this, relatively innocuous, he knew I might try to come over the top with air, and pre-planned a 4bet in advance. His 4bet was way too fast. Obviously my overs+FD are the nuts, but against a player like him it's ordinarily more profitable to wait until it hits, unless you get them to 4bet-fold.

Final hand was sexy too, I had 22 and defended, flop 23Q, noice! I check-called 40 despite a FD being on the board, turn is a 2!!! I check, he bets 100, I call. River is a 9, I check, he bets 270, I CRAI 625 more, he puke/calls off his last chips with Q5o. Not horrible on his part actually, and he knew I was defending him so light that he had to keep v-betting TPNK, and he has to be conscious of my potentially coming over the top w/missed clubs or w/e. Poor guy goes to all this trouble to set up a maniac image, finally gets to vbet thin, and runs into quads. Not his day.

Next match I'm up against a very good 2p2 regular who I've played against quite a bit at 1/2 on FT, so we'll see how it goes ... suffice to say that I expect the match to be less about exploitation and more about unexploitability.

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Back in stride?

April was rough, essentially a breakeven month where I endured a $1500 downswing. It was a mixture of bad-ish play and running bad, I think. Lots of coolers one way, no coolers the other, but I think I took the LAGgish tendencies I've been developing over the past couple of months and took them a little too far, playing more like a maniac. I learned to start chilling on my cbets a bit, as nobody observant was giving me any respect, and I wasn't hitting the hands to make that profitable; meanwhile I was bleeding a lot of money in small pots.

Thus month I've calmed down and have been running about 19/14, which is about in my comfort zone. I had to deal with a ~-$800 session about a week ago, but have followed that up with four straight winning sessions, including a $1030 day today, the first $1k day I've had in a while (I put together two in March, none in April). Notably, I was up over $500 in non-showdown pots today, which is extremely weird for me.

Saturday, April 4, 2009

New biggest pot ever...

...by a lot.

So I'm sitting at an NL400 deep table. I've started mixing in some NL400 to my game on the juicier nights, because the volume of fish that play that high certainly justifies the increased risk and because my BR is in a good spot. NL400 is still pretty much a hornet's nest compared to the relative softness of NL200 (NL100 to NL400 is by far the biggest 2-step jump in poker) but on a Friday night all the fish seem to want to play a bit higher than normal, and I'd be a fool not to follow them.

I'd done well at the table and in the first rotation increased my $800 buy-in to over $1k, and saw it swing between there and $1200 for most of the night. Until this hand.

Full Tilt Poker $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Mammola (UTG+1): $957.00
Zockermicha (MP1): $176.00
dewshy (MP2): $269.15
mikeymike1384 (CO): $1059.25
The_Tuz (BTN): $997.00
Hero (SB): $1023.85
T80085 (BB): $735.30
Mrsfields99 (UTG): $639.00

Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is SB with 8c 8s
4 folds, mikeymike1384 raises to $14, 1 fold, Hero calls $12, 1 fold

Flop: ($32.00) Qc 8h Ah (2 players)
Hero checks, mikeymike1384 bets $30, Hero raises to $82, mikeymike1384 raises to $1045.25 all in, Hero requests TIME, Hero calls $927.85 all in

Turn: ($2051.70) Ks (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($2051.70) 8d (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $2051.70
mikeymike1384 shows 2s As (two pair, Aces and Eights)
Hero shows 8c 8s (four of a kind, Eights)
Hero wins $2048.70
(Rake: $3.00)

The funny thing was, this particular villain didn't strike me as one of the megafish until here. His stats were on the loosey-aggro side, and I had a feeling that he was maybe getting bored and was about to pop, but coming over the top like this? That's unpossible!

I'd played a hand not long ago where I'd c/r'd his cbet with a draw and he dumped the hand instantly, to which I had a chuckle and said to myself "wow, he really doesn't want to play around with our stacks." Maybe he had the same thought, decided that made him seem like a pussy, and felt the need to validate his manhood. Or maybe on a Friday night he had friends/his girlfriend watching him, and wanted to show off his big balls in putting $1k into the middle.

Or maybe it was a misclick. LOL.

It took me an embarrassingly long time to call. I didn't, like, use up my whole timebank or anything, and it was 0% slowroll, I just took a second to process the move and knock my brain out of the mode the bet put it into, which was something along the lines of "holyshitholyshitholyshitholyshit". When I'm calling off a cool thousand, and there's two hands that beat me, I need to work myself through the full extent of the logic that says there's no way he has one of those two hands.

I gotta say, though: having over $2k at a NL200 table? Pretty pimp.

I started off well last night but the wheels came off not long into the session, dropping $1k (from +$500 to -$500) with alarming alacrity. This hand made me unstuck :) Won about $600 last night all told, a good $400 below my EV.

Saturday, March 28, 2009

Fascinating hand

I posted this one at 2+2 and feel the need to post it here. Played a crazy hand at a deep-stacked NL200 table.

Villain is a good regular player, a pro, who I have at about 14/11 and who is capable of impressive aggression at times, although his overall AF isn't that ridiculous.

Effective stacks are $400.

I raise from MP2 with Ad Kd, making it $7 to go, and villain cold-calls me from the button. Everyone else folds.

Flop comes Qc 9c 5s.

That's a good enough board for a cbet, so I fire out $13 into the $17 pot, pretty standard. Villain raises me to $46.

Ordinarily that would be the end of the hand, except that I had a read that this villain was feeling exceptionally frisky today, based on some of his play. He's going to be capable of raising any draws, of course, but also I felt, pretty much any pocket pair and quite a few weak queens to "figure out where he's at".

So I reraise him up to $105. Probably pretty spewy in hindsight but with the 200bb stacks to play with, I felt like I had a lot of wiggle room as far as how hard I could push. The bluff felt justified because any drawing hand would have to feel the pressure of the implied turn bet to go along with it.

Villain calls. Well, crap, that didn't work.

Turn is the 2s, putting the 2nd flush draw out there. I check. Villain checks back.

Well isn't that interesting. I began to wrack my brain for the range of hands that villain would be checking behind on the turn, and it was very narrow - pretty much limited to draws and MAYBE the occasional weak Queen, on a hand like QKs, that just flat out didn't believe me on the flop and was now praying for a cheap showdown.

The turn paired the 9 on the board, the 9s. It felt pretty safe, even though it put the backdoor flush out there it felt like he would have bet Ts Js, which is the only spade flush hand I could have seen him having.

Now I've got a bit of a predicament. My turn check belied my weakness, but so did his; there's NO WAY he's checking back that turn with a strong made hand like a set. Too many draws - he knows that TJs is in my own opening range from MP2 and knows that I'm not the sort of FPS player that would go for a suicidal turn C/R. At the same time, I know the same of him. Each of us knows that each other's range is pretty weak, and yet, there's $227 in the pot up for grabs.

I considered a $105 or so bet, working it as a blocking bluff, which should generally be enough to push him off TJs. Yes I know I'm ahead of TJs, but the purpose is still to push him off of it because I'm in a bit of a pickle: I can't call a shove. I'm not that good; I'd adjust my read and second-guess the information from his turn-check if he came over the top of me. At the same time this player is perfectly capable of coming over the top of a weakish river bet with air, given the weakness I've shown myself. Maybe a master could bet/call, but if I bet, I'm folding to a raise.

So instead I chose to shove, an overbet of $288 into the $227 pot. I like this play best, I'm convinced, because:

- It's no worse against drawing hands that villain has decided not to put another cent into the pot with - it wins me what is in the pot without having to show down my flop bluff

- It has the benefit of pushing him off of almost any single pair hand; this particular player doesn't really have the balls to call off 140bb with a hand like TP2K or a pair below TP. His read on me isn't going to be THAT strong despite the flop bet

- It absolutely prevents him from bluffing me off the hand himself.

It felt like a 90% valuebet 10% bluff, maybe getting him off a weakish queen but certainly getting him off of 100% of what he could realistically be holding.

In this case it worked. Villain folded, and later confirmed on 2+2 that the best hand did in fact win. Which means he either had TJ and/or clubs.

Interesting hand din a very nice day yesterday: ~$1150+. My monthly graph looks a lot better now, not that it was bad before.

Friday, March 27, 2009

The past few months

I'll admit it, I was worried. Even with my $12k score in the beginning of December making it my best month ever in terms of pure money won, the month was overall very frustrating and almost had me thinking about what I was going to do if and when the money started running out. My bankroll after the score was up around $30k - by far its highest point ever, and after withdrawing $4k to handle some expenses, I felt like I was in great shape overall.

Then the wheels came off. Here's my graph of December, up to and including the first few days of January.



For what it's worth, in all-in EV I was down about $1600 in this time frame, but that's beside the point as my play was simply not good. I took a long break and dove back in, and since January 5 my graph has looked as follows:



I've been running hot in this timeframe, to the point where it more than made up for my all-in EV drought in December, but my play has been pretty damn good as well. You can't beat NL200 for 4.4BB/100 over a nontrivial sample without playing well, and while I hold no illusions that that's my true winrate, I'm very confident at the moment. I've gradually adopted a LAGgier style. My stats ever since January 5 have been 16/12 at Full Ring; in December I was playing 15/10. In November I was 14/10. October, 14/9. September, I was 13/8.

No single transition is earthshattering in and of itself, but bouncing from 13/8 up to 16/12 over the course of a few months is very significant.

Not surprisingly, the composition of my graph looks much different than it once did. I don't feel like uploading all of the pics, suffice to say that so far this month I'm within ~$100 of breakeven in my non-showdown pots, something I've never been able to do much of before.

My aggression factor is still not very high, hovering around 2. The top players at NL200 on Full Tilt (and presumably elsewhere) - players like Kush789, BerlinsBest, and ChkRazed - all have AF's pushing 5.0, meaning they're generally more confident in their reads and know when to push or fold. I'm calling too much, and missing too much thin value. Still, I'm pretty good at snapping off bluffs - better than some others, maybe - so I'm not overly unhappy with my stats.

I need to get more volume in - I've known that for a long time - but I'm never comfortable on autopilot after more than a couple of hours per day, and I'm prone to taking breaks. This month's break - over a week - was justifiable, at least, as I got very ill and was in no condition to play. Stupid flu.

But, it's off to the tables now, to catch some of the Friday evening Eurodonks. Friday nights are great too, so maybe another session later tonight.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

Haven't been blogging.

Just haven't had the motivation. I meant to write a retrospective re. my first calendar year as a pro, but just didn't get to that point. I'm not one that likes to expend too much energy whining about big downswings, and I'm still working on crawling my way out of a crazy one.

Starting just prior to my $12k score in the tournament at the start of December, I've (until recently) experienced pretty much an uninhibited freefall, losing just shy of $6k in around 26k hands. For those paying attention, that's not good. I don't think I was playing that horribly in the stretch - maybe not my A-game, but certainly not that bad - and for whatever it's worth was down more than $2k in all-in equity during that swong. More than that, stuff that doesn't show up in all-in equity, like coolers, beats that hit on the river before the money gets in (and sometimes even more frustratingly, when it doesn't - like when I have AQo on a QJ9 flop, my cbet gets called, the turn bricks, I check-call a substantial bet, and a J hits the river - it goes check-check and I lose to AJo - that actually happened not long ago).

Thanks to my tournament score I still had a great overall December, my best month yet in terms of total cash won, but dropped almost $2700 at the cash tables which took a bit of the edge off my win.

I resolved to transition to 6max this month and have been playing that since the start of January. It's a different game, more aggressive preflop, but with (imo) a bigger donkey ratio and most of the regs are hugely exploitable. More than that they seem more exploitable with my favored strategy, which is just to sit tight and make thin calldowns, which doesn't work as efficiently against the nits at FR.

Still, the month started poorly, with a nearly $2k extension to my downswing before going well in the past few days. My last 7 sessions have been winning ones, and I've gone up about $1600 in them. Back in the black for the month, I feel good about my game again. I've been focusing on shorter, but more frequent sessions, and on quality over quantity, only playing when I'm feeling like it. The result has been only 6k or so hands this month, but I feel like it's paying off as my game has been very sharp.

Monday, December 22, 2008

If there were any justice in the world...

...this would have been a hell of a motherfucking comeback.



What a brutal fucking game.

The highlight reel:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($409.50)
MP2 ($203)
MP3 ($206.20)
CO ($47)
Button ($283.45)
Hero (SB) ($383.95)
BB ($258.25)
UTG ($29)
UTG+1 ($223.10)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
6 folds, Button raises to $7, Hero calls $6, BB raises to $28, Button calls $21, Hero raises to $96, BB raises to $258.25 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero calls $162.25

Flop: ($544.50) K, 8, 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: ($544.50) 10 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($544.50) J (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $544.50 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had A, A (one pair, Aces).
BB had K, K (three of a kind, Kings).

Outcome: BB won $541.50

Had this guy right where I wanted him. Button was a nitty TAGfish with a 20% steal and an 82% fold to 3bet, thus the cold-call. BB is a decent enough reg. Standard AA vs KK cooler but Jesus Fucking Christ did this come at a soulcrushing time, right when I'm mounting a hell of a comeback.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($268.30)
MP2 ($103.95)
MP3 ($59.40)
CO ($322.65)
Hero (Button) ($200)
SB ($200)
BB ($38)
UTG ($300.80)
UTG+1 ($200)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9, 7
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $2, 4 folds, Hero calls $2, 1 fold, BB checks

Flop: ($7) K, 10, 8 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 bets $7, Hero raises to $23, 1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $76, Hero raises to $198 (All-In), UTG+1 calls $122 (All-In)

Turn: ($403) A (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($403) A (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $403 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had 9, 7 (one pair, Aces).
UTG+1 had K, K (full house, Kings over Aces).
Outcome: UTG+1 won $400

This one was early. Not technically a beat, as I only had 40% equity in the pot, but I just happened to run into the motherfucker that open limped kings and flopped top set, still had a straight flush draw, and whiffed.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG+1 ($46.75)
MP1 ($113)
MP2 ($265.65)
MP3 ($67.95)
CO ($183.20)
Button ($361.15)
Hero (SB) ($225.90)
BB ($100)
UTG ($206.60)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, Q
2 folds, MP1 calls $2, 1 fold, MP3 calls $2, 2 folds, Hero raises to $12, 1 fold, MP1 calls $10, MP3 calls $10

Flop: ($38) 3, 7, Q (3 players)
Hero bets $20, 1 fold, MP3 raises to $55, Hero raises to $213.90 (All-In), MP3 calls $0.95 (All-In)

Turn: ($149.90) 2 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($149.90) 10 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $149.90 | Rake: $3

Results:
Hero had Q, Q (three of a kind, Queens).
MP3 had Q, K (flush, King high).
Outcome: MP3 won $146.90

This one made me want to shoot something.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($102.45)
UTG ($210.55)
UTG+1 ($88)
MP1 ($68.40)
MP2 ($176)
Hero (MP3) ($387.65)
CO ($271.15)
Button ($78)
SB ($208.70)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, Q
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $4, MP1 calls $4, MP2 calls $4, Hero calls $4, 1 fold, Button calls $4, 1 fold, BB calls $2

Flop: ($25) Q, 3, 8 (6 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $8, 1 fold, Hero raises to $38, Button raises to $74 (All-In), 3 folds, Hero calls $36

Turn: ($181) K (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($181) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $181 | Rake: $3

Results:
Button had A, 10 (flush, Ace high).
Hero had A, Q (one pair, Queens).
Outcome: Button won $178

Standard I suppose.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (3 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($50.65)
Hero (SB) ($274)
BB ($187.70)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K
1 fold, Hero raises to $6, BB raises to $18, Hero raises to $60, BB calls $42

Flop: ($120) 8, Q, 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $86, BB raises to $127.70 (All-In), Hero calls $41.70

Turn: ($375.40) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($375.40) 3 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $375.40 | Rake: $1

Results:
Hero had A, K (one pair, eights).
BB had A, Q (two pair, Queens and eights).
Outcome: BB won $374.40

Emblematic of my whole night, really. Although most of the money didn't go in with me as a favorite, my opponent can't help but flop top pair with a dominated hand in a 4bet pot. Even then I don't think my opponent is in good shape against my range on the flop. AK is the only hand I have that he beats here.

Such a brutal, brutal, brutal fucking game.