Pretty sick hand

Full Tilt Poker Game #6537568618: Table Inez (deep) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 20:52:15 ET - 2008/05/23
Seat 1: Run You Over 22 ($111.65)
Seat 2: gdshaffer ($225.45)
Seat 3: Luckbox4 ($215.35)
Seat 4: mike7072222 ($334.95)
Seat 5: GeckoMike ($199)
Seat 6: ringo6624 ($86.80)
Seat 7: ctcdad ($111.10)
Seat 8: wendellsailor59 ($228.20)
Seat 9: notnroht11 ($181.80)
notnroht11 has 5 seconds left to act
notnroht11 has been disconnected
notnroht11 is sitting out
notnroht11 has timed out
Run You Over 22 posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #8
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to gdshaffer [Qd Ah]
notnroht11 has reconnected
gdshaffer raises to $3
Luckbox4 calls $3
mike7072222 folds
GeckoMike folds
ringo6624 folds
ctcdad folds
wendellsailor59 folds
notnroht11 has returned
Run You Over 22 calls $2
*** FLOP *** [Qc 2c Ac]
Run You Over 22 checks
gdshaffer bets $9
Luckbox4 calls $9
Run You Over 22 folds
*** TURN *** [Qc 2c Ac] [3h]
gdshaffer bets $12
Luckbox4 raises to $38
gdshaffer calls $26
*** RIVER *** [Qc 2c Ac 3h] [4h]
gdshaffer checks
Luckbox4 bets $94
gdshaffer has 15 seconds left to act
gdshaffer has requested TIME
gdshaffer ?????????

Deepstack NL100 tables at full tilt, villain is running 19/12/3.3 over 440 hands with a preflop 3bet percentage of just under 3. Pretty good, thinking, observant player who I imagine is using a HUD. My table image is somewhat middlish, running around 20/11/2.1. (I play many more hands at the deepstack tables than at regular stack tables, because of the added implied odds of deceptive hands).

I took up my entire time bank, just about, before finally making the call. Just as I suspected, villain showed AxKc and I took down the $144 pot. My opponent having the flush he was repping just didn't make any sense unless it was the nut flush, and I had a very hard time accepting that he would call an EP raise from a tight player with KJs or worse. If he had a lesser flush I very seriously doubt he smoothcalls the flop (some will, but it's not this player's style) before making his move on the turn. However, a semi-made hand with the draw to the nuts makes perfect sense.

I don't think I like the river bluff by my opponent, though it's obviously tempting. After I call his turn raise he has to know I'm pretty serious about the hand and may very well be ahead. Because he holds the Kc he knows I'm not drawing, unless I happen to have AJ with the J of clubs and a desire to be suicidal. He might push me off AK, but pushing me off a chopped hand is hardly as +EV as pushing me off a hand that is ahead of him.

And he's not getting a call from worse hands, either. Does he seriously think I'm calling with AJ here? So it's obviously a bluff, meant to push me off AK/AQ.

As that's not going to work too often, I think he's much better off just checking behind and hoping for a chop.

Still lost like $136 in cash games today, though I made like $64 of it back in a tournament ($24+2 PL H/A tournament, I finished 8th/112 for a $90 prize). Got oversetted in a huge pot, and lost about $180 when a guy gave a tiny 3bet to me from out of the blinds, I called (a smooth-caller folded, so I had great odds) with 99, and I flopped a set on a 89Q flop. Raiser bet, I raised big to $45, (board is too wet to smoothcall) villain called. Turn: J. My heart sinks but I figure nobody's stupid enough to call with a T in their hand on that flop (unless he has TJ, which is a cooler start to finish), villain bets $50, I push, villain calls with ATs. Unbelievable. Calling that big flop raise from oop with NOTHING but an inside straight draw against a villain that just flop raised you after you 3bet him pre. That's like, total suicide. What, does he think he's getting 2 cards?